The BYU Cougars have captured the attention of college football fans this season with their dramatic entry into the Big 12 Conference. As Week 14 unfolds, BYU finds itself deeply entangled in the heated race for the 2024 Dr Pepper Big 12 Football Championship. A season filled with highs and lows has left the Cougars on the brink of redemption—or elimination. Here’s how BYU’s story has developed and what it means for their Big 12 and playoff aspirations.
Big 12 Championship Tiebreaker Scenarios: BYU’s Position
The Big 12 title race has been a rollercoaster, with nine teams entering Week 14 in contention for the championship game. After Colorado’s victory over Oklahoma State on Friday, the field narrowed to six teams: Arizona State, Iowa State, BYU, Colorado, K-State, and Texas Tech.
Once leading the Big 12 standings, BYU saw their dominance shaken by two recent losses. Yet, the Cougars remain mathematically alive. For BYU to claim a spot in the championship game, several scenarios must align. The most straightforward path involves a victory over Houston and an Iowa State loss. In this case, BYU would face Arizona State for the Big 12 crown.
More complex tiebreaker scenarios involve outcomes like Baylor winning or losing, Texas Tech’s performance, and Cincinnati’s results. These situations could set up matchups like Arizona State vs. Iowa State or Colorado vs. Iowa State. However, BYU knows that their destiny rests mainly in their own hands as they prepare to face Houston in the final game of the Big 12 regular season.
Iowa State Awaits BYU’s Result
This weekend, one of the most pivotal games saw Iowa State defeat Kansas State 29-21 at home. The Cyclones’ victory puts them in a position to advance, but their fate is tied directly to BYU’s performance against Houston.
Arizona State, the top-ranked team in the Big 12, has already secured its spot in the championship game. For Iowa State to join them, BYU must beat Houston. This would eliminate Colorado from contention and cement a Cyclones vs. Sun Devils showdown in Arlington, Texas, on Dec. 7.
The stakes are clear for BYU as well. A win could propel them back into contention, potentially setting up a rematch against Arizona State or a first-time clash against Iowa State. However, a loss to Houston would not only end BYU’s Big 12 title hopes but could also allow Colorado to slide into the second championship spot.
The Bigger Picture: BYU’s Playoff Dreams
While BYU’s immediate focus is on the Big 12 Championship, the Cougars also have their eyes on the College Football Playoff (CFP). With the CFP expanding to a 12-team format, BYU still has a faint chance to make the playoff bracket. However, their two recent losses have significantly hurt their standing.
The latest CFP rankings project Arizona State, currently ranked No. 16, to secure the 12th and final playoff spot. Clemson and Alabama, two traditional powerhouses, are notably absent from the projections, while Indiana holds a surprising position in the top 12.
BYU’s playoff hopes hinge on an impressive win over Houston, followed by a strong performance in the Big 12 Championship game. Even then, the Cougars would need help from losses by higher-ranked teams to climb back into playoff consideration. It’s a long shot, but in college football, anything is possible.
BYU vs. Houston: A Must-Win Showdown
The Cougars’ final regular-season game against Houston carries immense weight. BYU is nearly a two-touchdown favourite, but the team knows they can’t afford to take their opponent lightly. Though out of the championship race, Houston has shown flashes of brilliance this season and would love to play spoiler.
BYU’s offence, led by quarterback Kedon Slovis, must find its rhythm early. The Cougars have struggled with recent losses, particularly in the second half of games. Against Houston, maintaining consistency and capitalizing on scoring opportunities will be crucial.
On the defensive side, BYU’s ability to contain Houston’s explosive plays could determine the outcome. The Cougars have one of the more resilient defences in the Big 12 but will need to tighten up to keep Houston’s playmakers in check.
Arizona State Sets the Bar
Arizona State has been the class of the Big 12 this season, clinching their championship game berth with a dominant 49-7 victory over Arizona. The Sun Devils are also in line to represent the conference in the College Football Playoff, provided they win the Big 12 title game.
Their rise has been remarkable, especially considering the challenges of adapting to a competitive Big 12 landscape. Arizona State’s success has raised the bar for programs like BYU, which joined the conference with high expectations.
The Sun Devils await their opponent on Dec. 7, and BYU hopes to be that team. For the Cougars, facing Arizona State in the championship would be a chance to avenge their earlier loss and prove they belong among the Big 12’s elite.
Looking Ahead: What’s Next for BYU Football?
Despite how the next week unfolds, BYU’s first season in the Big 12 has been a learning experience. The Cougars have demonstrated that they can compete at a high level, even as they adjust to the rigours of Power Five football.
For head coach Kalani Sitake and his staff, the focus will be on building consistency and resilience. BYU’s fan base, one of the most passionate in college football, will be eager to see their team rise in these critical moments.
If BYU wins against Houston and secures a spot in the Big 12 Championship game, the Cougars could be on the verge of their most significant achievement since joining the conference. A win in Arlington would bring a Big 12 title and position BYU as a program capable of making waves on the national stage.
Conclusion
The next few days will be pivotal for BYU football. From the Big 12 tiebreaker scenarios to the must-win game against Houston, the Cougars’ season hangs in the balance. As fans await the outcome, one thing is clear: BYU’s journey in the Big 12 has just begun, and the future looks bright for the Cougars. Whether they end the season with a championship or use this year as a stepping stone, BYU is ready to make its mark in college football.
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